2012-13 NBA Predictions

The NBA season is upon us, and it is already off to an exciting first week. So exciting, in fact, that I forgot to give you my season predictions for how this year will turn out. First off I want to start by saying that James Harden will not average 40 points per game, win the MVP, and lead the Rockets to the NBA Finals. I'm sorry to disappoint any die-hard Houston fans. I also believe that the Thunder, Lakers, and Celtics will all finish with records above .500, which their current records do not reflect. So, now I will begin to predict how I think both the Eastern and Western Conference standings will look like at the end of the regular season. 

Eastern Conference:

1. Miami Heat

2. Boston Celtics

3. New York Knicks

4. Indiana Pacers

5. Brooklyn Nets

6. Philadelphia 76ers

7. Chicago Bulls

8. Atlanta Hawks

Well I am definitely not alone with my prediction that the Miami Heat will finish with the best record in the east. I think the Heat are the clear favorites to repeat heading into this season, and with the additions of shooters in Ray Allen and Rashard Lewis, they should end up with home court advantage throughout the playoffs. My second seed is Boston, and I really don't think that they will have a slow regular season like they have in the past couple of years. I believe that the youth the team has gained will help them win some more games during the regular season. I also think that Rajon Rondo will make a run at the MVP, due to an increase in scoring. Now, my three through six seeds could really finish anywhere, there is no clear best team out of those four. I think the Knicks will finish at three just because they have Carmelo Anthony, who thrived along with the  rest of the team under Mike Woodson late last year. I love the point guard tandem of Raymond Felton and Jason Kidd, and the Knicks have great scoring off the bench in J.R. Smith and Steve Novak. The Pacers are number four for me, because they have a very deep roster for the third year in a row, and now have the experience of making a decent playoff run last year. Now I have the Nets over the Sixers because of the injury to Andrew Bynum. He will miss a little time, and I do like Brooklyn. Both teams should be pretty even throughout the season, however, and it will entertaining to watch Joe Johnson and Deron Williams play together. The Bulls will make  the playoffs and finish above the Hawks, because of the return of Derrick Rose at some point this season. The Bulls also, as they displayed last year, have enough on their squad to win a lot of games in the Eastern Conference. I pick the Hawks to squeeze in ahead of the Bucks, simply because I think they have a better all-around roster. The backcourt of Brandon Jennings and Monta Ellis will be great to watch though. 

Western Conference:

1. Oklahoma City Thunder

2. San Antonio Spurs

3. Los Angeles Lakers

4. Los Angeles Clippers

5. Denver Nuggets

6. Memphis Grizzlies

7. Dallas Mavericks

8. Minnesota Timberwolves

The Thunder are my number one seed, because of the combination of youth and experience they have, as well as the greatness of Kevin Durant. Durant should make another run at both the scoring title, and the MVP, while the addition of Kevin Martin will serve as a nice complementary piece to the roster. The loss of James Harden will not stand out as far as I'm concerned, because of the return this season of backup point guard Eric Maynor. The Spurs will finish ahead of the Lakers in the regular season, because the Lakers will take some time to mesh. As we have already seen in the first week, the health of the older Lakers is a legitimate concern. Even though the injury to Steve Nash is not a significant one, it is something to keep an eye on as the season goes on. As far as four through six, the Clippers will finish ahead due to another MVP-type season from Chris Paul. They have also replaced players like Mo Williams, Nick Young, and Reggie Evans with better players in Jamaal Crawford, Grant Hill, Ryan Hollins, and the return of Chauncey Billups. The Nuggets and Grizzlies could finish flipped, but I think the addition of Andre Iguodala will be enough to grab the five seed. The Mavs will get the seven seed ahead of the Timberwolves. I picked the Timberwolves, because I think the return of Kevin Love and Ricky Rubio, as wells as the additions of Brandon Roy and Andre Kirilenko will be enough to sneak into the playoffs. 

Playoff Predictions:

First Round-

(1) Miami Heat v. (8) Atlanta Hawks 

Heat win 4-1

(2) Boston Celtics v. (7) Chicago Bulls

Celtics win 4-3

(3) New York Knicks v. (6) Philadelphia 76ers

Knicks win 4-2

(4) Indiana Pacers v. (5) Brooklyn Nets

Pacers win 4-2

(1) Oklahoma City Thunder v. (8) Minnesota Timberwolves

Thunder win 4-1

(2) San Antonio Spurs v. (7) Dallas Mavericks

Spurs win 4-1

(3) Los Angeles Lakers v. (6) Memphis Grizzlies

Lakers win 4-2

(4) Los Angeles Clippers v. (5) Denver Nuggets

Clippers win 4-3

Conference Semi-Finals-

(1) Miami Heat v. (4) Indiana Pacers

Heat win 4-3

(2) Boston Celtics v. (3) New York Knicks

Celtics win 4-2

(1) Oklahoma City Thunder v. (4) Los Angeles Clippers

Thunder win 4-2

(2) San Antonio Spurs v. (3) Lakers

Lakers win 4-2

Conference Finals-

(1) Miami Heat v. (2) Boston Celtics

Celtics win 4-2

() Oklahoma City Thunder v. (3) Los Angeles Lakers

Thunder win 4-2

NBA Finals-

(1) Oklahoma City Thunder v. (2) Boston Celtics

Celtics win 4-3

Yes thats right, I don't have either the Heat or Lakers in the Finals. I think that the Pacers will give the Heat a great series and then the Celtics will beat the Heat in the Eastern Conference Finals. The Celtics improved perimeter play, along with a stronger Rajon Rondo will knock off Miami. I believe the Lakers will lose to the Thunder, because of Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook. Although the Lakers big men Dwight Howard and Pau Gasol will have strong series, and Kobe will be Kobe, Durant and Westbrook will dominate their respective matchups. Especially Westbrook, because no one on the Lakers can guard him, unless they put Kobe on him, which will hurt his offense. In the Finals, I think it will go back and forth. Rondo will have a great series, while either Garnett or Bass will knock down jumpers all day over Kendrick Perkins. Of course this could, and likely will, not happen and everyone else will have picked the right finals of the Lakers and the Heat. But, I truly believe that there is a strong possibility of the season playing out as I have predicted, we'll see. 

Summer On Smash: Free Agency in The NBA

NBA free agency has always been an eventful time for NBA basketball fans. It occurs soon after the end of the NBA finals, as well as the draft. This summer has been no different, in fact even more exciting than in past years. In the summer of 2007 the Boston Celtics big three was formed, when the Celtics acquired Ray Allen and Kevin Garnett, but those were both via trade. In the summer of 2010, LeBron James made his "decision" to travel down to the warm beaches of Miami Florida, and side with fellow All-Stars Dwayne Wade and Chris Bosh. This summer, however, has seen more big names being moved than any other year, whether through free agency or trade.

A 6-time NBA All-Star, Joe Johnson, was one of many star players to relocate this month. Johnson was traded to the Brooklyn Nets for multiple role players and draft picks. The move sparked maybe the biggest free agent of them all, Deron Williams, to re-sign with the Nets, and give Brooklyn arguably the best backcourt tandem in the NBA. One team who would argue that statement is the Los Angeles Lakers. The Lakers added a huge piece to its squad, one that it thinks has been missing for a while, an All-Star point guard. Well, not only did they get an All-Star, but also a two-time MVP winner in former Suns guard Steve Nash. The sign and trade deal almost came out of nowhere, as the Lakers had been Nash's biggest rival for years, while playing with the Suns. Nevertheless Nash ok'd the deal, not only because of the Lakers' potential, but also because he would be closer to his family in Phoenix. Another shocking move was made by a veteran All-Star guard, this time it was Ray Allen. Ray Allen had spent the past 5 seasons with the Boston Celtics, and helped them win a title in 2008, but after losing to Miami in the Eastern Conference Finals this past season, Allen decided to sign with the defending champion Heat. The move shocked most Celtics fans (including myself), but it was not the end of the world for Celtics fans, because they added a veteran shooting guard of their own. Longtime Dallas Maverick Jason Terry agreed to sign the Celtics just days before Allen decided to leave. Some think that the two are connected, but it has been denied by Allen. Terry was not the only Maverick that left the team, the point guard who led them to a championship just a year ago, Jason Kidd, left Dallas for New York. Kidd signed with the Knicks with the intention of mentoring the young breakout point guard, Jeremy Lin. It sounded like a great plan until Lin signed an offer sheet with the Houston Rockets. One that the Knicks intended to match until Houston changed the third year of the contract to $15 Million. Instead the Knicks decided to just trade for a former Knick point guard, Raymond Felton.

Despite all of these blockbuster moves none were the story of the summer in the NBA. The biggest story remains where is Magic center Dwight Howard going? Howard has expressed on many occasions that he is not interested in playing for the Magic next season, but no deal has been made yet, and the two sides do not seem to be able to figure anything out. All the blame is to go on Howard, however, as he made it clear that he would stay if the coach and general manager left. Well, at the end of the season Van Gundy and Otis Smith were fired, and Howard proceeded to simply change his mind. Howard is single handedly ruining the Orlando Magic's organization. After getting a brand new arena, and hosting the All-Star Game this past year, the Magic are now most certainly headed backwards.

Despite the problems in Orlando, the rest of the NBA is looking great. The league continues to get more and more exciting as more players change locations. Fresh rookies are preparing to make an impact on the league, and the 2012-2013 NBA Regular Season Schedule was just recently released. On October 30th the season begins in Miami, where the Heat will begin their defense of the NBA title against their rival of recent, the Boston Celtics. Can't wait? Me neither.

Snow Day

It's a snow day so I am relaxing at home and staying warm. What I want to write about today is the Super Bowl on Sunday. But I cannot ignore the fact that the Celtics have the best record in the eastern conference, and just beat the defending champs on Sunday. To me the Celtics proved on Sunday that they are arguably the best team in the NBA, but also that the Lakers have some work to do. There had been some concern with Los Angeles earlier in the season but everyone still thought that they would step up in the big games. But the thing is that they have lost to the Heat, Spurs, Mavericks, Celtics, meaning they have lost all of the big games against playoff teams this year, and have lost a bunch of games at home. Anyway Boston looks good heading into the second half of the season and hopefully they will secure home-court advantage throughout the playoffs.
So back to the NFL and the biggest game of the year, the Super Bowl. The Green Bay Packers are back in the Super Bowl for the first time since 1998 with Brett Favre, and they are taking on the Pittsburgh Steelers who will look fore their third super bowl in six years. The key for me will be the pressure that both teams bring on defense. Both teams have mobile quarterbacks, so when they bring pressure on the blitz they better make sure they tackle Rodgers or Rothlisberger. But I think both teams will score a fair amount because of the ability of both quarterbacks to make something out of nothing. In the end though I think the Packers will pull this one out because their corners and safetys are better than the Steeler's with the exception of the defensive player of the year Troy Polomalo. I'll take the Pack in this one 27-21.

Max

Thanksgiving Time

Hello everyone it's Thanksgiving time again that means football this Thursday as well as some basketball games both college and NBA. For football there will be the classic Lions and Cowboys home games, the Lions are hosting the 8-2 New England Patriots who are coming off another classic Brady Manning showdown and are looking to be yet another Super Bowl contender come this winter. The Saints will be in Dallas looking more and more like the team that made an incredible championship run giving their city a boost. The Cowboys on the other hand were looking to become the first team in NFL history to play a Super Bowl at home. But these Cowboy shave been a mess with some weeks showing up on offense but not defense and the other way around. But the last two weeks have looked like the team that many expected to see this year after they got a big win in New York and then at home against struggling Lions. This match-up could be a very good game because both teams are coming into this week hot and while one team is playing to prepare for the playoffs, the other is playing for pride. The last game of the night will be the Bengals and the New York Jets. This one has two teams going in opposite directions, the Jets are 8 and 2 but have been struggling to get by three mediocre teams in the Lions, Browns, and Texans. The Bengals have not lived up to the expectations and are only making news because of their wide receivers talk in the press. Bengals receiver Terrell Owens says that Jets corner Darrell Revis is "an average corner". But now I'll make my predictions for these games. The Pats will win in Detroit easily, the Cowboys will show up for a third straight week and knock off the Saints for the second year in a row during the regular season; and the Jets will win another close one against the Bengals with Owens playing well yet again but Ochocinco will get shut down by Cromartie.
In the NBA for some reason someone thought that the Washington Wizards against the Atlanta Hawks, and the Sacramento Kings taking on the L.A. Clippers were great Thanksgiving match-ups. Well guess what? They're not. Thankfully the Miami Heat take on the Orlando Magic tonight in Disney World, but if I were you I would stick to football on Thursday. But about the Miami Heat, recently they lost yet another game to a below .500 team, the Pacers, and just last weekend they lost at the buzzer in Memphis. This Heat team is starting to really annoy me, they just keep thinking of excuses for their play on the court. Whenever they win they are amazing and a championship contender, but when they lose they tell themselves that this whole thing is a process, and that they are still getting used to each other. Well if I remember the 2008 Boston Celtics brought three stars together and they started great right off the bat, and if they lost there was no excuses. They finished the year 66-16 and won the NBA championship. Now if the Heat want to consider themselves championship contenders than they have to not only start playing like it, but also hold themselves accountable for their miscues. So as winter is just starting to come so are the NFL playoffs, Bowl Championship Series, and the NBA and College basketball seasons are just getting into full swing. That's it for now, happy holidays and eat a lot.

-Max

NBA Season

The NBA season is coming up at the end of this month, and what better way to start off the season than with the Celtics and the Heat, two of the NBA's more talented teams this year. That game could very well preview the Eastern Conference Finals in May, the Heat of course are getting all the headlines because of their high activity in free agency this summer. The 2 biggest free agent signings were LeBron James and Chris Bosh, combined with Dwayne Wade alone would be a huge threat in the league, but with the addition of some solid veterans like Mike Miller and Eddie House, this team is looking like the 2008 Celtics team, except younger and maybe better? Of course Miami isn't the only team in the NBA if you may have forgotten this summer, there is another team out west who happens to have won the last 2 NBA Championships, the Los Angeles Lakers. This Lakers team, at least on paper, looks even better than last years team, who fought hard to beat the Celtics in 7. Both the Heat and Lakers look to be the leaders of their respective conferences at the moment, but don't sleep on lots of other teams who feel disrespected by the media for all of the hype involving the Heat.
The Orlando Magic seem to stand out the most, they won 59 games last year, had the second best record in the league, and made it to the Eastern Conference Finals before being knocked off by a red-hot Boston team. The Magic are led by their center and best player, Dwight Howard. But this is just for the regular season, and when it comes to playoff time I see the Celtics as the better team and maybe the best in the east. There will still be some teams trying to challenge the set top 3, the Hawks are still very skilled and athletic. They are led by Joe Johnson who signed a huge contract this offseason that will keep him in Atlanta for a long time to come. They still have great young talent, Josh Smith is a stat-sheet-stuffer at the power-forward position, Al Hordford is maybe ready to become one of the great centers in the league soon, and Marvin Williams is solid at the small-forward. Atlanta has Mike Bibby as their veteran point guard, and the clutch and explosive Jamaal Crawford coming off the bench, Crawford won sixth-man of the year award last year. The Bulls are the only other team that I could see challenging the top teams, they decided to use free agency as a chance to pretty much steal the Utah Jazz's players; they signed Ronnie Brewer (an athletic player who plays good defense), Kyle Korver (a sharp shooter who broke the NBA record for three-point shooting last year), and the biggest of all Carlos Boozer, the all-star forward who will miss the beginning of the season because of injury. CJ Watson should also help Derrick Rose, as he will be a nice scorer off the bench.
In the West all of the teams as always have a shot. The Gizzlies are still very young and talented but because they play in the west they might miss the playoffs yet again. The Hornets are looking to improve with the help of having Chris Paul back and healthy, and ready to try to get back to the level as his play in 2008. The teams that should be at the bottom of the playoff picture should be the Suns, Spurs, and Jazz. The Trailblazers and Mavericks will be very good once again but the Mavs just never seem to be able to get all the way, and now 2006 looks like that was their chance to win the franchise a title. The Blazers however are a team that should just keep getting better if they manage to stay healthy, which last year they could not accomplish. They had so many injuries last year, but this year they bring a young team led by all-star Brandon Roy. But the two best teams that seem most ready to take on the Lakers and snap their streak of 3 straight western conference championships, are the Thunder and the Nuggets. The Thunder gained so much from last years playoff berth, one in which they nearly knocked off the champion Los Angeles Lakers, who finished them off in a tough fought 6 game series. Westbrook, Durant, Green, and Harden are the young players who will only get better, and Durant is going into the season as the MVP favorite. The Nuggets are coming into the season quietly because of last years early exit from the playoffs, which from my observation was because of the loss of George Karl. Karl had to step away from the team last year because of health reasons, before he left they were on a roll but then his departure along with Kenyon Martins injury slowed them down the stretch of the season.
Now I will show you my regular season predictions for the playoff picture and the awards.



Eastern Conference
1. Miami Heat 67-15
2. Orlando Magic 59-23
3. Boston Celtics 55-27
4. Atlanta Hawks 48-34
5. Chicago Bulls 48-34
6. Miliwaukee Bucks 45-37
7. New York Knicks 43-39
8. Charlotte Bobcats 41-41

Note: If the Knicks manage to aquire Carmelo Anthony this year I could see them getting over the Bucks, Bulls, and Hawks.

Western Conference
1. Los Angeles Lakers 62-20
2. Denver Nuggets 58-24
3. Oklahoma City Thunder 56-26
4. Portland Trailblazers 53-29
5. Dallas Mavericks 52-30
6. Utah Jazz 52-30
7. Phoenix Suns 50-32
8. San Antonio Spurs 50-32

Coach of the Year: It will most likely be given to Eric Spoelstra no matter what but don't sleep on first year coach Tom Thibbideou of the Bulls, or Mike Danntoni for the Knicks.

Sixth Man of the Year: There will be the normal canidates of Jason Terry, Manu Ginobli, Jamaal Crawford. But James Harden on the Thunder could step up in his second year in the league, also CJ Watson of the Bulls could play very well as he is a great scorer coming off the bench for Derrick Rose.

Most Improved Player: Tony Parker could take this award because he had a tough season last year because of his injuries, and this year he will look play all-star basketball for the Spurs.

Rookie of the Year: Everyone looks to John Wall but I think Wes Johnson will win because he will have a bigger role in Minnesota, while Wall will be playing with Gilbert Arenas.

Most Valuable Player: Right now Durant is of course the front runner but I would not be surprised to see Dwyane Wade make a run and just maybe win it, he will be great with Bosh and James on his side.

Playoff Bracket:
First Round:
Western Conference
(1) Lakers 4 vs. (8) Spurs 2

(4) Trail Blazers 4 vs. (5) Mavericks 3

(2) Nuggets 4 vs. (7) Suns 2

(3) Thunder 4 vs. (6) Jazz 3

Eastern Conference
(1) Heat 4 vs. (8) Bobcats 0

(5) Bulls 4 vs. (4) Hawks 3

(2) Magic 4 vs. (7) Knicks 1

(3) Celtics 4 vs. (6) Bucks 1

Conference Semi-Finals:
Western Conference

(1) Lakers 4 vs. (4) Trail Blazers 3

(2) Nuggets 4 vs. (3) Thunder 3

Eastern Conference

(1) Heat 4 vs. (5) Bulls 2

(3) Celtics 4 vs. (2) Magic 2

Conference Finals:
Western Conference

(1) Lakers 4 vs. (2) Nuggets 3

Eastern Conference

(3) Celtics 4 vs. (1) Heat 3

I see the Lakers making it to the finals but not easily. They will have very tough battles against a team that has owned them for the past few years in the regular season, the Blazers, and against the Nuggets who after losing in 7 games may be losing Carmelo Anthony to free agency. The Celtics will come out of the east, they will beat the Bucks easily in the first round, then have a strong series against the magic because no one can guard Pierce. In the eastern conference finals they will out last the Heat because of their experience, depth, and ability to win big games on the road.

NBA Finals:

(3) Celtics 4 vs. (1) Lakers 2    Finals MVP Rajon Rondo








I honestly see the Celtics as an improved team this year, and despite the Lakers off-season moves to bring in Matt Barnes and Steve Blake, they don't look much better to me. The Celtics will get game 1 on the road and in game 5 at home they will get a little bit too excited and let the Lakers steal one. But in game 6 they will show why they are the best road team in the NBA and raise banner 18 in Boston.