2012-13 NBA Predictions

The NBA season is upon us, and it is already off to an exciting first week. So exciting, in fact, that I forgot to give you my season predictions for how this year will turn out. First off I want to start by saying that James Harden will not average 40 points per game, win the MVP, and lead the Rockets to the NBA Finals. I'm sorry to disappoint any die-hard Houston fans. I also believe that the Thunder, Lakers, and Celtics will all finish with records above .500, which their current records do not reflect. So, now I will begin to predict how I think both the Eastern and Western Conference standings will look like at the end of the regular season. 

Eastern Conference:

1. Miami Heat

2. Boston Celtics

3. New York Knicks

4. Indiana Pacers

5. Brooklyn Nets

6. Philadelphia 76ers

7. Chicago Bulls

8. Atlanta Hawks

Well I am definitely not alone with my prediction that the Miami Heat will finish with the best record in the east. I think the Heat are the clear favorites to repeat heading into this season, and with the additions of shooters in Ray Allen and Rashard Lewis, they should end up with home court advantage throughout the playoffs. My second seed is Boston, and I really don't think that they will have a slow regular season like they have in the past couple of years. I believe that the youth the team has gained will help them win some more games during the regular season. I also think that Rajon Rondo will make a run at the MVP, due to an increase in scoring. Now, my three through six seeds could really finish anywhere, there is no clear best team out of those four. I think the Knicks will finish at three just because they have Carmelo Anthony, who thrived along with the  rest of the team under Mike Woodson late last year. I love the point guard tandem of Raymond Felton and Jason Kidd, and the Knicks have great scoring off the bench in J.R. Smith and Steve Novak. The Pacers are number four for me, because they have a very deep roster for the third year in a row, and now have the experience of making a decent playoff run last year. Now I have the Nets over the Sixers because of the injury to Andrew Bynum. He will miss a little time, and I do like Brooklyn. Both teams should be pretty even throughout the season, however, and it will entertaining to watch Joe Johnson and Deron Williams play together. The Bulls will make  the playoffs and finish above the Hawks, because of the return of Derrick Rose at some point this season. The Bulls also, as they displayed last year, have enough on their squad to win a lot of games in the Eastern Conference. I pick the Hawks to squeeze in ahead of the Bucks, simply because I think they have a better all-around roster. The backcourt of Brandon Jennings and Monta Ellis will be great to watch though. 

Western Conference:

1. Oklahoma City Thunder

2. San Antonio Spurs

3. Los Angeles Lakers

4. Los Angeles Clippers

5. Denver Nuggets

6. Memphis Grizzlies

7. Dallas Mavericks

8. Minnesota Timberwolves

The Thunder are my number one seed, because of the combination of youth and experience they have, as well as the greatness of Kevin Durant. Durant should make another run at both the scoring title, and the MVP, while the addition of Kevin Martin will serve as a nice complementary piece to the roster. The loss of James Harden will not stand out as far as I'm concerned, because of the return this season of backup point guard Eric Maynor. The Spurs will finish ahead of the Lakers in the regular season, because the Lakers will take some time to mesh. As we have already seen in the first week, the health of the older Lakers is a legitimate concern. Even though the injury to Steve Nash is not a significant one, it is something to keep an eye on as the season goes on. As far as four through six, the Clippers will finish ahead due to another MVP-type season from Chris Paul. They have also replaced players like Mo Williams, Nick Young, and Reggie Evans with better players in Jamaal Crawford, Grant Hill, Ryan Hollins, and the return of Chauncey Billups. The Nuggets and Grizzlies could finish flipped, but I think the addition of Andre Iguodala will be enough to grab the five seed. The Mavs will get the seven seed ahead of the Timberwolves. I picked the Timberwolves, because I think the return of Kevin Love and Ricky Rubio, as wells as the additions of Brandon Roy and Andre Kirilenko will be enough to sneak into the playoffs. 

Playoff Predictions:

First Round-

(1) Miami Heat v. (8) Atlanta Hawks 

Heat win 4-1

(2) Boston Celtics v. (7) Chicago Bulls

Celtics win 4-3

(3) New York Knicks v. (6) Philadelphia 76ers

Knicks win 4-2

(4) Indiana Pacers v. (5) Brooklyn Nets

Pacers win 4-2

(1) Oklahoma City Thunder v. (8) Minnesota Timberwolves

Thunder win 4-1

(2) San Antonio Spurs v. (7) Dallas Mavericks

Spurs win 4-1

(3) Los Angeles Lakers v. (6) Memphis Grizzlies

Lakers win 4-2

(4) Los Angeles Clippers v. (5) Denver Nuggets

Clippers win 4-3

Conference Semi-Finals-

(1) Miami Heat v. (4) Indiana Pacers

Heat win 4-3

(2) Boston Celtics v. (3) New York Knicks

Celtics win 4-2

(1) Oklahoma City Thunder v. (4) Los Angeles Clippers

Thunder win 4-2

(2) San Antonio Spurs v. (3) Lakers

Lakers win 4-2

Conference Finals-

(1) Miami Heat v. (2) Boston Celtics

Celtics win 4-2

() Oklahoma City Thunder v. (3) Los Angeles Lakers

Thunder win 4-2

NBA Finals-

(1) Oklahoma City Thunder v. (2) Boston Celtics

Celtics win 4-3

Yes thats right, I don't have either the Heat or Lakers in the Finals. I think that the Pacers will give the Heat a great series and then the Celtics will beat the Heat in the Eastern Conference Finals. The Celtics improved perimeter play, along with a stronger Rajon Rondo will knock off Miami. I believe the Lakers will lose to the Thunder, because of Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook. Although the Lakers big men Dwight Howard and Pau Gasol will have strong series, and Kobe will be Kobe, Durant and Westbrook will dominate their respective matchups. Especially Westbrook, because no one on the Lakers can guard him, unless they put Kobe on him, which will hurt his offense. In the Finals, I think it will go back and forth. Rondo will have a great series, while either Garnett or Bass will knock down jumpers all day over Kendrick Perkins. Of course this could, and likely will, not happen and everyone else will have picked the right finals of the Lakers and the Heat. But, I truly believe that there is a strong possibility of the season playing out as I have predicted, we'll see. 

Snow Day

It's a snow day so I am relaxing at home and staying warm. What I want to write about today is the Super Bowl on Sunday. But I cannot ignore the fact that the Celtics have the best record in the eastern conference, and just beat the defending champs on Sunday. To me the Celtics proved on Sunday that they are arguably the best team in the NBA, but also that the Lakers have some work to do. There had been some concern with Los Angeles earlier in the season but everyone still thought that they would step up in the big games. But the thing is that they have lost to the Heat, Spurs, Mavericks, Celtics, meaning they have lost all of the big games against playoff teams this year, and have lost a bunch of games at home. Anyway Boston looks good heading into the second half of the season and hopefully they will secure home-court advantage throughout the playoffs.
So back to the NFL and the biggest game of the year, the Super Bowl. The Green Bay Packers are back in the Super Bowl for the first time since 1998 with Brett Favre, and they are taking on the Pittsburgh Steelers who will look fore their third super bowl in six years. The key for me will be the pressure that both teams bring on defense. Both teams have mobile quarterbacks, so when they bring pressure on the blitz they better make sure they tackle Rodgers or Rothlisberger. But I think both teams will score a fair amount because of the ability of both quarterbacks to make something out of nothing. In the end though I think the Packers will pull this one out because their corners and safetys are better than the Steeler's with the exception of the defensive player of the year Troy Polomalo. I'll take the Pack in this one 27-21.

Max

Friday Night

No I am not going out and partying on a friday night, instead I am a 15 year old boy so I'm watching the Celtics and the Bulls. I love the Celtics and I can honestly say that they have the best defense in the league as a starting five. Rondo, Allen, Pierce, Garnett, and O'Neal (maybe Perkins when he comes back) play the best half-court defense and can absolutely shut down teams. The bench however seems to keep up the offense sometimes but fails to do the same on defense. The bench's bigs are good defenders but not great. Anyway I think the Celtics are the easy pick to come out of the east right now. Even though they have the same record as the Magic, they seem to be more consistent. The Celtics never lose by more than 5 or so, where as the Magic seem to lay eggs some games and the next game completely turn it around and look like the best team in the NBA. The co-best team in the NBA with the Celtics are the Lakers. I know the Lakers have lost 4 straight games for the first time since April of 2007, I don't think there is any doubt in anyones mind that the Lakers are still the favorite out west.
Since I know this is what everyone is thinking about I will talk about LeBron. Yes, I watched the game last night. I thought going in that the Cavs would have a chance to win because of the whole situation, and what would be a playoff atmosphere. Instead the Cavs got destroyed and LeBron had his best scoring game of the season, but there was still a playoff atmosphere. But I got to talk about the beginning, I am not lying when I say that those were the loudest boos I have ever heard. I mean as soon as he stepped on the court that crowd was prepared to boo. You got to see that for Cleavland they had been preparing for this since July when LeBron had "The Decision", so they had all sorts of creative cheers, shirts, poster, etc. My favorite cheer was "your Wade's Pippen!", and my favorite t-shirt was "the lyin king" with a picture of James with a lion's mane. He should have handled the whole summer situation a lot better, but now that it's over that is not what bothers me. What bothers me is that he still won't apologize. Even when he got the opportunity when Craig Sager asked him straight up if he wanted to apologize, but he didn't. I'm not sure if he doesn't think he did anything wrong, or he doesn't want to say that he was wrong. Either way he makes things that shouldn't be complicated, complicated.
I am also so excited for the Patriots Jets game on Monday Night Football. It doesn't get any better than arguably the two best teams in the NFL on Monday night. The big thing I think will be the Patriots defense against the Jets much more multi-dimensional offense this year. I still don't think the Pats defense is that good even though they have some very good players on d. That's why I think it will be extremely important for the offense of the Patriots to keep the ball and therefore limit New York's possession of the football. The NFL media still can't seem to buy the Falcons though. I don't know what else they have to do. They have the best record in the NFC, they have beaten the Packers, Ravens, and Saints who are all considered Super Bowl contenders, and they have not lost at home, and over the last three years seem to have the biggest home field advantage in the NFL.
Short note about college football is that it now looks like we are definitely headed towards a Oregon Auburn BCS National Championship game in Glendale, Arizona. While Boise State thought that they might have a chance this year they ended any argument with there overtime loss last week in Nevada. I'm excited to hear that TCU will be joining the Big East which is great. Mainly because UConn might make a BCS bowl game and they are 8-3, while other teams like LSU with only two losses, most likely will not make a BCS bowl game. Anyway I might be just saying random stuff now so I'm done for now.

-Max